Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #14
52%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #25
48%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Ranking Trends

Frances Tiafoe

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #16 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #18 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #18 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-08-12)

Ugo Humbert

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #22 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #15 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #14 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #17 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 54.7
ELO Rating: 1549.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1711.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 90.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.8

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 41.7
ELO Rating: 1660.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1665.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 67.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.5

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) hard Toronto 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yosuke Watanuki (2-1) hard Toronto 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 117 min

Ugo Humbert
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Cincinnati 67 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) grass Eastbourne 167 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) grass Eastbourne 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) grass Eastbourne 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Frances Tiafoe
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 14, faces Ugo Humbert, who holds the 25th rank. The match will be contested on hard court, a surface where both players have shown competence. The predicted winner is Frances Tiafoe, with a 51.74% probability of winning compared to Ugo Humbert's 48.26%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe brings a solid form index of 54.71 and an Elo rating of approximately 1549.41. His fatigue level stands at 90 minutes, reflecting a longer match played in the current tournament. Tiafoe’s surface strength index is 13.01, accompanied by an impressive mean serve index of 97.11, which is greater than Humbert's mean serve index of 95.55 by more than 5 points. This suggests Tiafoe may have the edge in service games. In contrast, Ugo Humbert has a lower form index of 41.66, an Elo rating of 1660.31, and a fatigue level of 67 minutes. Humbert’s surface strength index is slightly higher at 17.55, indicating good adaptability to hard courts, but his mean return index of 84.46 is also lower than Tiafoe's 86.85 by more than 5 points, which could impact his ability to break serve. Recent performances show Tiafoe with a mixed bag: he won his last match against Roberto Carballes Baena convincingly, but suffered a defeat against Alex de Minaur prior. In contrast, Humbert has managed a victory against Coleman Wong in his latest outing, but faced setbacks at Wimbledon and Eastbourne. This inconsistency may play a role in their upcoming clash.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe holds a slight advantage due to his superior serve and return indices, which are crucial on hard courts. The key factor to monitor will be Tiafoe's ability to leverage his serve throughout the match, as this could dictate the overall pace and momentum against Humbert.