Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke Watanuki Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #11
60%
VS

Yosuke Watanuki

Rank: #159
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 59.3
ELO Rating: 1547.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1704.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.7

Yosuke Watanuki

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 519.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 257.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 1.3
Grass: 1.7
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) hard Washington 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Washington 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Yosuke Watanuki

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-1) hard Toronto 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-1) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (1-2) hard Washington 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jake Fellows (2-0) hard Washington 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs August Holmgren (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Frances Tiafoe
vs
1
Yosuke Watanuki
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Frances Tiafoe and Yosuke Watanuki will take place in the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Canada, on hard courts. Frances Tiafoe is predicted to win this encounter with a probability of 60.08%, while Yosuke Watanuki has a 39.92% chance of emerging victorious. The expected total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe currently holds a ranking of 11, demonstrating solid form with a form index of 59.29 and an Elo rating of 1547.59. He has no cumulative fatigue affecting his performance, which is crucial at this stage of the tournament. On the other hand, Yosuke Watanuki, ranked 159, has a form index of 54.96 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 519.90. However, Watanuki is carrying a fatigue level of 257 minutes, which may impact his endurance in the match. Tiafoe boasts a surface strength index of 12.97, compared to Watanuki's 5.66, indicating a clear advantage on hard courts. Tiafoe also has a higher mean serve index (97.11) compared to Watanuki's (95.08), but the mean return index shows a smaller difference, with Tiafoe at 86.74 and Watanuki at 85.17. In their recent performances, Tiafoe has had mixed results, losing his last match against Ben Shelton while winning two matches before that. His last three matches include one win against Flavio Cobolli and another against Aleksandar Kovacevic, showing some potential despite the recent setback. Watanuki, on the other hand, has shown resilience, winning his last two matches in Toronto but losing a prior match in Washington. His recent form indicates he is competitive, but the cumulative fatigue might hinder his chances against a higher-ranked opponent like Tiafoe.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe is favored to win due to his higher ranking, better recent form, and lack of fatigue, which provides him a clearer path to victory. A key factor to watch will be Tiafoe's serving effectiveness, as his superior serve index could dictate the flow of the match and challenge Watanuki’s return game.