Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Francisco Cerundolo vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #21
56%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #60
44%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 20.0
ELO Rating: 1279.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1696.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 89.4

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 60.8
ELO Rating: 1223.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1700.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 112.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Beijing 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Toronto 51 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Toronto 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Toronto 178 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Shanghai 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) hard Beijing 59 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Beijing 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andrea Vavassori (2-0) hard Beijing 69 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament, Francisco Cerundolo is set to face Adrian Mannarino on hard court. The predicted winner is Cerundolo, with a probability of 56.11% compared to Mannarino's 43.89%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo currently holds a rank of 21 with a form index of 20.01, suggesting a slight dip in performance recently despite a solid Elo rating of 1279.55. His fatigue level stands at 0 minutes, indicating he is well-rested for this matchup. Cerundolo's surface strength index is a notable 12.03, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.89 and a mean return index of 89.39. In contrast, Adrian Mannarino is ranked 60 and has a higher form index of 60.83, but his Elo rating of 1223.28 indicates he is not as highly rated. Mannarino's fatigue level is 112 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index is slightly lower at 11.47, and his mean serve index (95.21) and mean return index (87.65) reflect a competitive edge, although both players are closely matched in terms of serve and return capabilities. Recent performances show Cerundolo struggling in his last three matches, with losses against Learner Tien and Leandro Riedi, raising questions about his current form. Mannarino, however, has demonstrated resilience by defeating Matteo Berrettini in his last match, adding confidence to his game. Before that, he faced setbacks against Lorenzo Musetti but secured a win against Alexander Bublik, indicating he can perform under pressure.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's slight edge in Elo rating and being well-rested gives him a favorable position heading into this matchup. However, Mannarino's recent victory could bolster his confidence. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle their service games, particularly Cerundolo's superior mean serve index, which may prove pivotal in clinching crucial points.