Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Francisco Cerundolo vs Carlos Taberner Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #20
70%
VS

Carlos Taberner

Rank: #107
30%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 38.6
ELO Rating: 1529.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1711.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 89.4

Carlos Taberner

Form Index: 32.2
ELO Rating: 335.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1514.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 115.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 2.5
Serve Rating: 92.8
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Bastad 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Bastad 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Halle 122 min

Carlos Taberner

  • Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) clay Umag 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-2) clay Gstaad 153 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (0-2) clay Rome 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Carlos Taberner
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament in Croatia, Francisco Cerundolo is set to face Carlos Taberner on clay. With a predicted win probability of 69.96% for Cerundolo and 30.04% for Taberner, the expected total number of games is 21.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo, currently ranked 20, shows a strong form index of 38.62 and an Elo rating of 1529.54, indicating solid performance levels. His zero fatigue from the current tournament suggests he comes into this match fresh, ready to leverage his strengths. Notably, Cerundolo's surface strength index of 13.24 aligns with his clay-court expertise. His mean serve index of 97.05 significantly surpasses Taberner's 92.78 by more than 5 points, providing him an advantage in service games. Additionally, his mean return index of 89.40 is also stronger than Taberner's 87.05, enhancing his ability to capitalize on returns. In contrast, Carlos Taberner, ranked 107, has a form index of 32.21 and a lower Elo rating of 335.08. Taberner enters the match with a cumulative fatigue of 115 minutes, which could impact his performance. His recent matches have shown a mix of results; he won his last match against Pierre-Hugues Herbert but faced defeats in previous encounters against tougher opponents. Cerundolo's recent performances have been less favorable, with one win and two losses in his last three matches, but his overall ranking and form suggest he is still the more complete player.

Final Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo's higher rank, stronger serve, and fresher condition give him a clear edge over Carlos Taberner in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Cerundolo's ability to maintain his service game, as dominating this aspect could dictate the flow of the match.