Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #19
61%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #67
39%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Ranking Trends

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #22 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #31 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #33 (2024-07-15)

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current Rank: #67 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #65 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #82 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #100 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #107 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 27.6
ELO Rating: 1586.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1714.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 92.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 13.5
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 89.3

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 43.3
ELO Rating: 887.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 195.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 8.1
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 89.4

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Bastad 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Halle 122 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) clay Hamburg 100 min

Damir Dzumhur
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (2-1) clay Bastad 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Bastad 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) grass Mallorca 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (0-2) grass Stuttgart 54 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Bastad, Sweden, Francisco Cerundolo is set to face Damir Dzumhur on clay. The analysis predicts Cerundolo as the winner, with a win probability of 60.88%, while Dzumhur stands at 39.12%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 22.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 19, Francisco Cerundolo boasts a solid form index of 27.60 and an Elo rating of 1586.12. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is relatively low at 92 minutes, indicating a fresh athlete ready for the challenge. Cerundolo's surface strength index of 13.54 and a mean serve index of 97.08 highlight his proficiency on clay. Notably, his mean return index of 89.27 indicates he is adept at capitalizing on opponents' serves. In contrast, Damir Dzumhur, ranked 67, presents a different scenario with a higher cumulative fatigue of 195 minutes and a form index of 43.34. His Elo rating of 887.84 and surface strength index of 8.09 suggest he may struggle against stronger opponents. Although his mean serve index of 94.64 and return index of 89.41 are competitive, they do not provide a significant edge over Cerundolo, especially given the differences in their serve indices, which exceed 5 points in favor of Cerundolo. Over their last three matches, Cerundolo has faced challenges, winning only one out of three, while Dzumhur has secured victories in both of his recent matches at Bastad.

Final Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo's advantages in rank, lower fatigue levels, and superior serve metrics give him a decisive edge heading into this quarterfinal matchup. A key factor to observe will be Cerundolo's ability to maintain his serving consistency, as it could heavily influence his chances of advancing to the semifinals.