Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Francisco Comesana vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #65
43%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #31
57%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Francisco Comesana

  • Current #65 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #62 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #85 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #94 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #100 2024-07-15

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #31 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #78 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #37 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #28 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #24 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 36.3
ELO Rating: 792.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 149.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.1
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.1

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 58.2
ELO Rating: 1726.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 61.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Alexander Bublik
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Gstaad 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) grass Halle 81 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-0) grass Halle 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Gstaad tournament held on clay in Switzerland, Francisco Comesana faces Alexander Bublik. With a predicted total of 23 games to be played, Bublik is favored to win with a probability of 56.77%, while Comesana has a 43.23% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik currently holds a rank of 31, significantly higher than Comesana's rank of 65, which indicates his overall performance and experience on the tour. Bublik's form index of 58.21 suggests he is in better shape compared to Comesana's 36.32. Additionally, Bublik's Elo rating of 1726 indicates a higher skill level. Fatigue also plays a role; Bublik has accumulated 61 minutes on court in this tournament, while Comesana has a considerably higher fatigue level of 149 minutes, which may impact his performance. Both players exhibit strengths on clay, but Bublik's surface strength index of 14.28 outshines Comesana's 7.19. This difference is significant and could influence the match dynamics. Furthermore, Bublik's mean serve index stands at 95.51, just slightly higher than Comesana's 97.11. However, the mean return index shows a closer margin, with Comesana at 87.09 and Bublik at 86.37, suggesting that while Bublik may hold an advantage in serve, the return game will likely be competitive.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher rank, better form, and lower fatigue level give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how Comesana manages his fatigue, especially against a player like Bublik, who tends to capitalize on opponents’ weaknesses.

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