Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Francisco Comesana vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #73
59%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #61
41%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Comesana

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Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 32.2
ELO Rating: 779.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.1
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.2

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 854.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 89.6

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana

Damir Dzumhur

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the opening round of the 2025 Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Francisco Comesana is set to face Damir Dzumhur on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 59.31% for Comesana compared to 40.69% for Dzumhur, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana, ranked 73rd, possesses a form index of 32.23 and an Elo rating of 779.74, indicating he has struggled recently. His surface strength index stands at 5.12, suggesting he performs adequately on hard courts. Comesana's mean serve index is particularly impressive at 97.25, while his return index is 87.20, showcasing his ability to gain points on both serve and return. In contrast, Damir Dzumhur, ranked 61st with a higher Elo rating of 854.72, has a form index of 49.70 and a surface strength index of 4.61. His mean serve index is 94.54, and his mean return index of 89.56 is slightly better than Comesana’s. The difference in their serve indices is notable, giving Comesana a significant advantage in service games. In their recent performances, Comesana has faced challenges, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat against Arthur Cazaux. His only win came against Tristan Boyer, where he demonstrated his capability on clay surfaces. Conversely, Dzumhur has shown more resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including victories against Stan Wawrinka and Titouan Droguet, although he did falter against Carlos Taberner in his latest outing.

Final Prediction

Francisco Comesana's superior serve index and the slight edge in predicted win probability contribute to his anticipated success in this matchup. Key to watch will be how effectively Comesana can capitalize on his serve against Dzumhur, who has shown vulnerability against stronger servers recently.

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