Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Gabriel Diallo vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #35
63%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #56
37%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

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Ranking Trends

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current #35 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #54 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #89 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #86 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #143 2024-08-26

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current #56 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #69 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #90 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #106 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #82 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 30.4
ELO Rating: 1294.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 86.4

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 39.8
ELO Rating: 849.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 89.7

Recent Matches

Gabriel Diallo
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gabriel Diallo
vs
0
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The US Open is set to witness an intriguing match between Gabriel Diallo and Damir Dzumhur in the Round of 128. This hard-court clash in New York sees Diallo as the favored player, with a strong probability of 63.12% to win, while Dzumhur stands at 36.88%. The match is expected to feature a competitive exchange, with a predicted total of 36 games.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo, currently ranked 35, enters this match with a form index of 30.35 and an Elo rating of 1294.78. He has shown a solid performance on hard courts, evident from his surface strength index of 8.73. Notably, Diallo's mean serve index of 97.60 exceeds Dzumhur's mean serve index of 94.54 by over 5 points, giving him a distinct advantage in serve effectiveness. On the other hand, Dzumhur, ranked 56, boasts a higher mean return index of 89.68 compared to Diallo's 86.39, indicating he may excel in returning serves. In their recent performances, Diallo has faced tough competition, losing his last two matches against Hamad Medjedovic and Jannik Sinner but securing a win against Sebastian Baez prior. Dzumhur has also had mixed results, with a recent loss to Carlos Alcaraz and a win against Mattia Bellucci sandwiched between. Both players have shown resilience, but Diallo's recent form and higher ranking suggest a slight edge.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo is predicted to have the upper hand due to his superior serve and overall ranking, making him a formidable opponent for Dzumhur. A key factor to watch during the match will be how well Diallo can leverage his serve against Dzumhur's returning skills, which may ultimately dictate the flow of the game.

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