S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Gabriel Diallo vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #55
41%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
59%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Ranking Trends

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current Rank: #55 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #88 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #87 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #103 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #165 (2024-06-10)

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 1091.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 220.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.0

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 65.5
ELO Rating: 1935.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1746.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 151.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 18.5
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Gabriel Diallo
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (1-2) clay Rome 119 min

Karen Khachanov
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 151 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Ofner (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (1-2) clay Geneva 116 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gabriel Diallo
vs
3
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 3
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at s-Hertogenbosch features Gabriel Diallo facing off against Karen Khachanov on grass. With a predicted total of 24 games, Khachanov is favored to win, boasting a probability of 58.83%, while Diallo has a 41.17% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo, currently ranked 55, has a form index of 54.29 and an Elo rating of 1091.62, indicating he is still building his game on this surface. His cumulative fatigue stands at 220 minutes, which could impact his performance. Diallo's surface strength index of 6.19 suggests he is still developing his skills on grass, despite having a solid mean serve index of 97.55 and a mean return index of 86.96. The difference in serve index is marginal, while his return index is slightly stronger than Khachanov's. In contrast, Karen Khachanov, ranked 24, possesses a form index of 65.52 and an Elo rating of 1935.63, showcasing his more consistent performance. With only 151 minutes of cumulative fatigue, Khachanov appears fresher. His surface strength index is significantly higher at 18.51, indicating a better adaptation to grass. His mean serve index of 95.40 is competitive, though slightly lower than Diallo’s, while his mean return index is close behind at 85.49. Both players have shown resilience, but Khachanov's recent results include a victory over Mackenzie McDonald, which adds to his confidence.

Final Prediction

Khachanov’s experience and better adaptation to the grass surface provide him with a distinct advantage, coupled with a stronger overall form. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle pressure moments, particularly on serve, as it could determine the match's outcome.