Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #36
40%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
60%
Expected Total Games: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Ranking Trends

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #36 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #30 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #31 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #50 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #117 2024-05-20

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current #27 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #23 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #29 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #19 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #21 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 29.4
ELO Rating: 1388.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1528.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 84.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 99.5
Return Rating: 82.4

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 36.3
ELO Rating: 1435.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1660.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 79.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match in Hamburg sees Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard facing off against Felix Auger-Aliassime on clay. With a predicted winner of Auger-Aliassime, the probability of Perricard winning stands at 40.38%, while Auger-Aliassime holds a 59.62% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is set at 25.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime is currently ranked 27th, slightly ahead of Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, who is ranked 36th. Auger-Aliassime has a higher Elo rating of 1435.46 compared to Perricard's 1388.10, indicating better overall performance. Both players have shown similar fatigue levels, with Auger-Aliassime at 79 minutes and Perricard at 84 minutes, suggesting they are both relatively fresh. However, when it comes to surface strength, Auger-Aliassime's index of 13.17 surpasses Perricard's 11.65, giving him an edge on the clay surface. The difference in their mean return index is also significant, with Auger-Aliassime at 85.66 compared to Perricard's 82.37, indicating Auger-Aliassime's superior returning abilities. In their recent matches, Auger-Aliassime has shown a mixed performance with a recent win against Daniel Altmaier, while his previous two matches resulted in losses. Conversely, Perricard enters this match with a strong recent victory over Alexander Bublik, although he suffered two consecutive defeats prior to that. This recent win could provide him with a confidence boost heading into the match.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime is favored to win due to his superior Elo rating, surface strength index, and return capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Perricard can handle Auger-Aliassime's returns and capitalize on his own serving opportunities throughout the match.

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