Roland Garros
France
Clay
Grand Slam
Round of 128
Giulio Zeppieri vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Expected Total Games:
33.0
Predicted Winner:
Carlos Alcaraz
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Set it upRanking Trends
Giulio Zeppieri
- Current #344 2025-05-05
- 3 mo ago #360 2025-02-24
- 6 mo ago #236 2024-11-25
- 9 mo ago #171 2024-08-26
- 12 mo ago #148 2024-05-27
Carlos Alcaraz
- Current #3 2025-05-05
- 3 mo ago #3 2025-02-24
- 6 mo ago #3 2024-11-25
- 9 mo ago #3 2024-08-26
- 12 mo ago #3 2024-05-27
Player Metrics
Giulio Zeppieri
Form Index:
77.1
ELO Rating:
387.8
Glicko2 Rating:
1556.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
4.6
Clay:
4.2
Grass:
2.0
Serve Rating:
97.2
Return Rating:
88.5
Carlos Alcaraz
Form Index:
66.6
ELO Rating:
6533.2
Glicko2 Rating:
2358.9
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
54.6
Clay:
59.7
Grass:
58.9
Serve Rating:
95.1
Return Rating:
88.0
Recent Matches
Giulio Zeppieri
- Last Match: vs Federico Agustin Gomez (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Jan Choinski (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran (1-2) clay Rome 104 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Pavel Kotov (2-1) clay Rome 139 min
Carlos Alcaraz
- Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (2-0) clay Rome 103 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) clay Rome 123 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (2-0) clay Rome 97 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) clay Rome 148 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-0) clay Rome 103 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Giulio Zeppieri
vs
0
Carlos Alcaraz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Carlos Alcaraz is set to face Giulio Zeppieri on clay. Alcaraz, ranked 3rd, is heavily favored with a probability of 90.67% to win, while Zeppieri has a mere 9.33% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 33.
Match Analysis
Giulio Zeppieri currently sits at rank 344 with a form index of 77.09 and an Elo rating of 387.82. He has accumulated considerable fatigue, totaling 522 minutes on court during the current tournament, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index of 4.22 indicates limited effectiveness on clay, and while his mean serve index is relatively solid at 97.20, his mean return index of 88.46 suggests he may struggle to consistently challenge Alcaraz’s serve.
Conversely, Carlos Alcaraz boasts an impressive rank of 3, a form index of 66.60, and a remarkable Elo rating of 6533.20. He enters this match with zero cumulative fatigue, having won his last three matches with ease, all in straight sets. His surface strength index of 59.66 underscores his proficiency on clay, while his mean serve index of 95.13 and mean return index of 88.02 show a robust serving capability and a slightly lower return ability compared to Zeppieri. However, the difference in their serve indices is negligible, making serve strategy critical in this match.
Download Probability Data
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Final Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz's superior ranking, lack of fatigue, and strong recent performances position him as the clear favorite against Giulio Zeppieri. A key factor to watch will be Alcaraz's ability to maintain pressure on serve, as any slip could momentarily shift momentum in favor of Zeppieri.
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