Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Hamad Medjedovic

Rank: #73
45%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #62
55%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic

Ranking Trends

Hamad Medjedovic

  • Current Rank: #73 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #72 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #95 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #156 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #139 (2024-08-12)

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current Rank: #62 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #75 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #101 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #79 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Hamad Medjedovic

Form Index: 29.6
ELO Rating: 879.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1577.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 85.7

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 679.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Hamad Medjedovic
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (1-2) grass Mallorca 129 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (2-1) grass Mallorca 146 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-0) grass Mallorca 63 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (0-2) grass London 83 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tristan Boyer (0-2) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (1-2) hard Washington 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Washington 116 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Los Cabos 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) hard Los Cabos 148 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Hamad Medjedovic
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament is set to feature an intriguing first-round clash between Hamad Medjedovic and Aleksandar Kovacevic on hard courts in Ohio. The match is expected to be competitive, with Kovacevic slightly favored to win, holding a 55.02% probability of victory compared to Medjedovic's 44.98%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Hamad Medjedovic is currently ranked 73rd and carries a form index of 29.58, indicating inconsistent performance recently. His Elo rating of 879.92 suggests that he has had some difficulties on the tour. Notably, his mean serve index of 97.25 showcases a strong serving ability, while his mean return index of 85.68 indicates that he has been somewhat effective in returning serves. On the other hand, Aleksandar Kovacevic, ranked 62nd, has a higher form index of 38.08, demonstrating better recent form. His Elo rating is lower at 679.89, which reflects his struggles, but his mean serve index of 96.32 and mean return index of 85.37 show he is also proficient in these areas. The difference in serve indexes is marginal, but Medjedovic holds a slight edge. When examining recent performances, Medjedovic has faced tough opponents but managed a win against Roman Safiullin in his last three matches, while losing the other two. Kovacevic, on the other hand, has struggled, losing his last two matches despite showing potential in a previous win against Quentin Halys. Both players will be looking to regain their footing in this crucial tournament setting.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic's edge in recent form and overall competitive experience on hard courts gives him a slight advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how each player's serve holds up, as Medjedovic's superior serve index could play a pivotal role in determining the match outcome.