Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Holger Rune Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #45
33%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #9
67%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Ranking Trends

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #37 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #30 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #49 (2024-07-29)

Holger Rune

  • Current Rank: #9 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #9 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #13 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #17 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 28.5
ELO Rating: 1168.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1523.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 71.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 99.2
Return Rating: 82.7

Holger Rune

Form Index: 38.6
ELO Rating: 2246.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1828.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-0) hard Toronto 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Washington 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) grass London 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) grass Stuttgart 77 min

Holger Rune
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (1-2) grass London 146 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) grass London 81 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Holger Rune
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 64 match in the Toronto Masters 1000 features Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard against Holger Rune. Given the players' current form and statistics, Holger Rune is predicted to win with a probability of 66.58%, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 33.42% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune, currently ranked 9th, boasts a form index of 38.60 and an Elo rating of 2246.79, which suggests he is in relatively better shape compared to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, who is ranked 45th with a form index of 28.46 and an Elo rating of 1168.83. Rune's fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is well-rested, whereas Perricard has accumulated 71.0 minutes of fatigue from his recent matches. On hard surfaces, Rune's strength index of 18.25 significantly surpasses Perricard's 11.83. Additionally, Rune's mean return index of 85.17 is notably higher than Perricard’s 82.68, although their serve indices are closely matched. In their recent performances, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard won his last match against Shintaro Mochizuki but suffered losses in his previous two matches, indicating some inconsistency. Conversely, Holger Rune has faced challenges recently, losing his last two matches at Wimbledon, but he did secure a victory in the match prior. Both players have shown resilience, yet Rune's overall higher ranking and recent experience in high-stakes matches give him a distinct advantage.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's superior ranking, lower fatigue level, and stronger surface performance provide him with a clear edge over Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. A key factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Rune's return game, as his higher mean return index could significantly impact Perricard's ability to serve effectively.