London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 16

Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McDonald Prediction

Holger Rune

Rank: #9
64%
VS

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #98
36%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Holger Rune

Form Index: 73.6
ELO Rating: 2502.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1847.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 23.9
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.1

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 58.1
ELO Rating: 493.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 156.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) clay Rome 224 min

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Last Match: vs Henry Searle (2-0) grass London 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) grass London 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 161 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Thijs Boogaard (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Holger Rune
vs
0
Mackenzie McDonald
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 500 tournament in London, Holger Rune faces Mackenzie McDonald on grass. With Rune currently holding a significant advantage, he is predicted to win with a probability of 64.34%, while McDonald’s chances stand at 35.66%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune, ranked 9th in the world, boasts a strong form index of 73.60 and an Elo rating of 2502.65, indicating his competitive prowess. He has shown no cumulative fatigue in this tournament, which is a significant advantage as he enters the match with a high surface strength index of 23.88. In contrast, Mackenzie McDonald is ranked 98th, with a lower form index of 58.12 and an Elo rating of 493.94. Notably, McDonald has accumulated 156 minutes of fatigue, which could impact his performance. The difference in mean serve index is also noteworthy, as Rune's serve index of 97.04 exceeds McDonald's 94.83 by more than 5 points. Furthermore, their mean return indices are closely matched, with Rune at 85.14 and McDonald at 86.02, indicating that return strategies may play a critical role. In their recent performances, Rune has faced tough competition at Roland Garros, where he won 1 match and lost 2. His last match against Lorenzo Musetti ended in a loss, but he managed to win three sets in his previous matches. On the other hand, McDonald has displayed solid form on grass, winning both of his recent matches convincingly without dropping a set. However, his earlier loss to Khachanov may suggest inconsistencies that Rune could exploit.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's higher ranking, better form, and significant advantages in serve and fatigue give him a clear edge heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Rune's ability to leverage his serve against McDonald, especially considering the latter's fatigue levels and past performance on grass.