Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Holger Rune vs Marton Fucsovics Prediction

Holger Rune

Rank: #11
63%
VS

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #53
37%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

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Player Metrics

Holger Rune

Form Index: 54.6
ELO Rating: 1714.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1809.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.9
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.7
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.0

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 1004.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1639.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 66.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 7.3
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Holger Rune

Marton Fucsovics

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Stockholm 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (1-2) hard Shanghai 161 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Tokio 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Tokio 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Tokio 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Holger Rune
vs
0
Marton Fucsovics
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Stockholm tournament between Holger Rune and Marton Fucsovics promises to be an engaging contest on hard courts. Rune, ranked 11th, is favored with a winning probability of 63.28% compared to Fucsovics' 36.72%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune enters this match with a higher rank and form index than Marton Fucsovics, boasting a rank of 11 and a form index of 54.61 versus Fucsovics' rank of 53 and a form index of 50.95. Rune's Elo rating of 1714.58 significantly surpasses Fucsovics' 1004.09, indicating a disparity in overall performance. Additionally, Rune is fresh, carrying zero cumulative fatigue, while Fucsovics has accumulated 66 minutes of fatigue from the current tournament. On hard courts, Rune’s surface strength index of 13.88 clearly outmatches Fucsovics' 8.40, providing Rune with a substantial advantage. Furthermore, Rune's mean serve index of 96.86 is higher than Fucsovics' 94.89, although the difference is not over 5 points. The mean return index shows a tighter contest with Rune at 85.01 and Fucsovics at 87.03, indicating Fucsovics may have the edge in returning serve. In their recent performances, Rune has faced challenges, losing his last match against Valentin Vacherot, while winning two previous matches against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Ugo Humbert. Conversely, Fucsovics has shown resilience, winning his last match against Jesper de Jong, but struggled in his previous two matches at Shanghai and Tokyo, failing to secure victories. This inconsistency may play a pivotal role in their upcoming clash.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's combination of superior ranking, fresh condition, and better surface performance gives him a distinct edge heading into the match. A key factor to observe will be how Rune manages his serve against Fucsovics' returning ability, as this could significantly influence the outcome of the match.

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