Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 32

Joao Fonseca vs Jack Draper Prediction

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #65
39%
VS

Jack Draper

Rank: #5
61%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

Player Metrics

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 66.2
ELO Rating: 1194.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1660.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 87.0

Jack Draper

Form Index: 78.3
ELO Rating: 2752.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1696.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 20.9
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Madrid 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min

Jack Draper

  • Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) clay Rome 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) clay Rome 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Joao Fonseca
vs
1
Jack Draper
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 at Roland Garros is set to feature an intriguing clash between Joao Fonseca and Jack Draper on the clay courts of France. With a predicted probability of winning at 60.95%, Draper enters the match as the favored player, while Fonseca holds a 39.05% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 37.

Match Analysis

Joao Fonseca, currently ranked 65, showcases a form index of 66.20 and an Elo rating of 1194. His cumulative fatigue stands at 348 minutes, reflecting the physical toll of the tournament thus far. His surface strength index is 9.10, and he possesses a mean serve index of 96.08 and a mean return index of 87.02. On the other hand, Jack Draper, sitting comfortably at rank 5, boasts a form index of 78.27 and a substantially higher Elo rating of 2753. Draper shares the same fatigue level of 348 minutes but has a superior surface strength index of 20.94. His mean serve index of 95.76 and mean return index of 87.52 reveal his capability on clay, although the difference between their serve indices is marginal, with only a 0.32-point gap. In their recent performances, Fonseca has won both his last matches at Roland Garros, defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Hubert Hurkacz without dropping a set. However, he faced a setback in his match prior to this tournament in Rome against Fabian Marozsan. Draper, conversely, has also secured victories in his last two matches against Gael Monfils and Mattia Bellucci, although he suffered a loss to Carlos Alcaraz in Rome. Both players are coming off strong victories, but Draper's recent form and higher ranking may provide him with a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper appears to have the upper hand going into this match, bolstered by his higher ranking, form index, and overall performance on clay. One key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Draper's returns against Fonseca, as Draper's ability to capitalize on his opponent's serve could play a decisive role in the outcome of the match.