Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Dusan Lajovic vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Dusan Lajovic

Rank: #131
49%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #57
51%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jacob Fearnley

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Dusan Lajovic

  • Current #131 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #81 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #66 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #59 2024-05-20

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current #57 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #81 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #89 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #159 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #510 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Dusan Lajovic

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 802.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.4

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 48.9
ELO Rating: 773.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 6.5
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Dusan Lajovic
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Berrettini (0-2) clay Rome 116 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabio Fognini (2-0) clay Rome 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Madrid 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-1) clay Madrid 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) clay Madrid 105 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Dusan Lajovic
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Geneva tournament, taking place on clay in Switzerland, Dusan Lajovic faces Jacob Fearnley. The match is highly competitive, with Fearnley slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 50.57% compared to Lajovic's 49.43%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Dusan Lajovic, ranked 131, has a form index of 53.31 and an Elo rating of 802.1. His surface strength index is relatively strong at 9.25, while his mean serve index stands at 97.10 and his mean return index is 87.43. Jacob Fearnley, ranked 57, shows a slightly lower form index of 48.89 and an Elo rating of 773.7. His surface strength index of 6.51 is lower than Lajovic’s, but he boasts a competitive mean return index of 88.69, which is higher than Lajovic's by more than 5 points. However, Fearnley’s mean serve index is lower at 95.18, which is also a difference of less than 5 points from Lajovic. Looking at their recent performances, Lajovic has had mixed results, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid victory against Yoshihito Nishioka. In contrast, Fearnley has also won one of his last three matches, notably defeating Fabio Fognini but falling to Matteo Berrettini in his last outing. Both players have shown they can compete at a high level on clay, but Fearnley's recent higher level of competition may provide him with an edge.

Final Prediction

Jacob Fearnley is predicted to have the upper hand in this matchup due to his competitive edge in return performance and recent match experience against higher-ranked opponents. A key factor to watch will be Fearnley’s ability to capitalize on Lajovic’s service games, as the match could hinge on break points and return opportunities.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel