Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Rublev enters this match as the higher-ranked player (13) compared with Mensik (28) and carries a slightly stronger form index (73.00 vs 66.47). Their Elo ratings are almost identical—Rublev 1870.28 to Mensik 1866.87—so margins are fine. Both players show modest clay-specific profiles: Mensik’s surface strength index is 34.08 while Rublev’s is marginally higher at 38.47. Fatigue numbers are equal (522 minutes on court this tournament), indicating neither has a clear freshness advantage. On serve and return metrics both men are strong servers by the supplied indices (Mensik mean serve 95.75, Rublev 95.18) and Mensik posts a superior mean return index (90.89) to Rublev’s (87.25), suggesting Mensik can attack Rublev’s service games effectively. Over their last three matches at Roland Garros, Mensik has edged through a mix of long matches—progressing 3–0, 3–2 and a 2–1 result—demonstrating resilience in extended contests. Rublev’s run has been steadier: 3–0, 3–1 and 3–1, indicating more routine straight-sets control and fewer borderline deciders.