Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Jakub Mensik vs Matteo Gigante Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #21
66%
VS

Matteo Gigante

Rank: #164
34%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 52.4
ELO Rating: 1675.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1621.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 87.9

Matteo Gigante

Form Index: 56.2
ELO Rating: 579.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1549.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 133.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 4.0
Grass: 3.7
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) clay Madrid 56 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (2-0) clay Madrid 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) clay Madrid 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (1-2) clay Munich 152 min

Matteo Gigante

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) clay Rome 133 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Indian Wells 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) hard Indian Wells 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-0) hard Indian Wells 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Indian Wells 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Matteo Gigante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Jakub Mensik is set to face Matteo Gigante on clay. With a predicted win probability of 66.47% for Mensik and 33.53% for Gigante, the anticipated total number of games in this match is 22.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik currently holds a rank of 21 and showcases a solid form index of 52.38, along with an Elo rating of 1675.92. His fatigue level is at 0, indicating he has not yet played extensively in the current tournament. Mensik’s surface strength index is a notable 10.39, reflecting his proficiency on clay. Additionally, he has a mean serve index of 97.70, significantly higher than Gigante's 94.09, which suggests he possesses a more potent serve. On the return game, Mensik's mean return index stands at 87.87, while Gigante’s is slightly higher at 88.62, though the difference is negligible. In contrast, Matteo Gigante's rank is 164, with a form index of 56.18 and an Elo rating of 579.55, indicating he has struggled to achieve similar results as Mensik. Gigante has accumulated 133 minutes of fatigue in the current tournament, which may impact his performance. Despite a recent win against Arthur Rinderknech, he faced a loss against Taylor Fritz in Indian Wells, highlighting a mixed bag of results in his last three matches. Mensik, on the other hand, faced a tough loss against Francisco Cerundolo but won convincingly against Alexander Bublik and Ben Shelton in his previous encounters.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik is favored to win due to his higher ranking, superior serve index, and lower fatigue level compared to Matteo Gigante. A key factor to watch will be Mensik's ability to leverage his serve against Gigante, potentially dictating the pace of the match from the outset.