Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Jakub Mensik vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #17
58%
VS

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #72
42%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #54 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #48 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2024-06-24)

Reilly Opelka

  • Current Rank: #72 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #293 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #307 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1188 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 36.7
ELO Rating: 1498.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 7.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.7

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 51.4
ELO Rating: 925.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1669.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 148.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 83.9

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (1-2) grass London 141 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Henrique Rocha (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Hubert Hurkacz (1-2) clay Rome 179 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Rome 89 min

Reilly Opelka
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs George Loffhagen (2-1) grass Eastbourne 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) grass London 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) grass London 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Reilly Opelka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Eastbourne tournament will see Jakub Mensik take on Reilly Opelka on grass. With Mensik holding a 58.50% probability of victory compared to Opelka’s 41.50%, the predicted total number of games played is set at 25.0, indicating a competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 17th, showcases a strong form index of 36.73 and an Elo rating of 1498.42. His surface strength index of 7.63 reflects his capability on grass, coupled with a mean serve index of 97.61 and a mean return index of 87.69. In contrast, Reilly Opelka, ranked 72nd, has a form index of 51.38 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 925.18. Opelka's surface strength index stands at 5.57, showcasing a lesser adaptation to grass, while his mean serve index of 97.37 is marginally lower than Mensik's by just 0.24. However, the difference in their mean return indices is notable, with Mensik outpacing Opelka by over 3.7 points, which may be critical in this matchup. In their recent performances, Mensik has faced challenges, losing two of his last three matches, including a close contest against Roberto Bautista Agut. Conversely, Opelka displayed a better performance in his last outing, securing a victory against George Loffhagen after a prior loss to Arthur Rinderknech. Both players will need to capitalize on their strengths; Mensik's superior return game could play a pivotal role against Opelka's serve.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's edge lies in his higher ranking, superior return capabilities, and a fresher physical state with no cumulative fatigue, compared to Opelka's 148 minutes on court. A key factor to watch during the match will be how Mensik handles Opelka's serve, as breaking his serve will be crucial for Mensik's chances of advancing.