Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Tristan Boyer vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Tristan Boyer

Rank: #126
28%
VS

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #17
72%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Tristan Boyer

Form Index: 43.6
ELO Rating: 502.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1527.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 227.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 63.1
ELO Rating: 1456.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1629.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.5
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Tristan Boyer

  • Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs James Trotter (2-0) hard Toronto 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (1-2) clay Bastad 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) grass Stuttgart 132 min

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) grass Eastbourne 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass Eastbourne 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tristan Boyer
vs
0
Jakub Mensik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Tristan Boyer and Jakub Mensik is set to take place in Toronto, Canada, during the Round of 64 phase of a Masters 1000 tournament on hard courts. Jakub Mensik is favored to win with a probability of 72.49%, while Tristan Boyer has a 27.51% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Tristan Boyer, currently ranked 126, has a form index of 43.60 and an Elo rating of 502.63. He has accumulated 227 minutes of fatigue from earlier matches in the tournament, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 5.27, indicating a struggle on hard courts. In terms of serve, Boyer has a mean serve index of 96.46, while his mean return index is 86.25. Meanwhile, Jakub Mensik is considerably better positioned, ranked 17th with a form index of 63.12 and an Elo rating of 1456.82. He has zero accumulated fatigue and a surface strength index of 16.06, showcasing his proficiency on hard courts. Mensik's mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.94, but his mean return index is stronger at 87.50, giving him an edge in return games. Recent performances reveal a contrasting trend for both players. Boyer has won his last two matches in Toronto, both in straight sets against Aleksandar Kovacevic and James Trotter, suggesting a level of momentum. However, he suffered a defeat prior to that in Kitzbuhel against Francisco Comesana. Conversely, Mensik's last outing ended in a loss against Flavio Cobolli at Wimbledon, but he previously secured victories over Marcos Giron and Hugo Gaston in the same tournament, indicating his ability to compete at a high level, especially on grass.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's higher ranking, better recent form, and absence of fatigue give him a significant advantage in this matchup against Tristan Boyer. The key factor to watch will be Mensik's ability to return serve effectively, capitalizing on Boyer's slightly lower serve index and potential fatigue from previous matches. Overall, Mensik's experience in higher-stakes matches is likely to play a decisive role.