Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jakub Mensik vs Ugo Blanchet Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #16
71%
VS

Ugo Blanchet

Rank: #184
29%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #16 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #54 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #48 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #65 (2024-08-26)

Ugo Blanchet

  • Current Rank: #184 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #193 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #158 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #221 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #148 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 61.2
ELO Rating: 1385.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1635.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.5

Ugo Blanchet

Form Index: 85.1
ELO Rating: 584.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1546.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.3
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 2.6
Serve Rating: 93.0
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Jarry (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Luca Nardi (0-2) hard Cincinnati 42 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) hard Toronto 89 min

Ugo Blanchet
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaime Faria (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dmitry Popko (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Borna Gojo (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roman Safiullin (1-2) hard Toronto 141 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Ugo Blanchet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the US Open, taking place on hard courts in New York, Jakub Mensik is set to face Ugo Blanchet. The predicted winner is Jakub Mensik, with a win probability of 71.46% compared to Ugo Blanchet's 28.54%. The anticipated total number of games in this match is estimated to be 36.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 16th, possesses a solid form index of 61.21 and an Elo rating of 1385.66. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh compared to his opponent. Mensik has a notable surface strength index of 14.84, showcasing his proficiency on hard courts. Furthermore, he boasts a mean serve index of 97.34, which is significantly higher than Ugo Blanchet's mean serve index of 93.03. This difference of over 5 points could give him a crucial advantage during service games. Mensik's mean return index of 87.54 also surpasses Blanchet's 85.95, indicating his effectiveness in returning serves. On the other hand, Ugo Blanchet ranks 184th and has a form index of 85.10, suggesting he has been performing well recently despite his lower rank. His Elo rating of 584.36 reflects the challenges he may face against higher-ranked opponents. Blanchet has accumulated a significant fatigue level of 696 minutes, which may hinder his endurance in longer rallies. In his last three matches, he has shown resilience by winning all, including a recent match against Fabian Marozsan, but he has done so after a taxing series of matches.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's higher ranking, superior serve and return indices, and lower fatigue level position him favorably against Ugo Blanchet. A key factor to monitor will be Mensik's ability to capitalize on his serve, which could dictate the pace of the match and ultimately lead him to victory.