James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Yibing Wu comes mainly from his recent record at this level and age, which together contributed most of the shift toward him in the projection. The engine gave 5.8 percentage points for recent record by level and 4.4 points for age in Wu’s favor. Statistically, Duckworth is the higher ranked player at 79 compared with Wu at 113, and he carries a stronger form index at 60.56 versus Wu’s 34.84. Duckworth also has the higher Elo rating at 1669.86, while Wu’s Elo is 1607.62. Both players show identical cumulative fatigue from the tournament so far at 174 minutes on court. Surface fit and recent form moved the numbers in opposite directions. Surface strength index slightly favors Wu at 25.69 over Duckworth’s 22.51, which accounts for the 2.0 point surface factor in Wu’s favor. Meanwhile the model credited Duckworth with a small recent form advantage worth 2.5 points and with overall strength worth 1.9 points. Serve and return profiles are nearly identical, with mean serve indices around 95 to 96 and mean return indices essentially level. Recent matches underline those contrasts. Duckworth arrived after a big 3-1 win here over Matteo Arnaldi, plus a split pair of results at Winston Salem. Wu comes in on the back of a straight sets win at the Open over Adam Walton but had two earlier losses in lead-up events.