Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
78%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #51
22%
Predicted Games Played: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 86.8
ELO Rating: 11702.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2155.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 98.9
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 89.0

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 84.4
ELO Rating: 1539.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1655.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 11.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Richard Gasquet (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) clay Rome 103 min

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Jack Draper (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Henrique Rocha (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) clay Hamburg 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of Roland Garros 2025 will see a clash between top-seeded Jannik Sinner and 51st-ranked Alexander Bublik on the clay courts of France. With Sinner holding a significant advantage, he is predicted to win with a probability of 78.39%, while Bublik has a 21.61% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is set at 34.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, currently ranked 1st, boasts an impressive form index of 86.78 and an Elo rating of 11,702, showcasing his strong performance capabilities. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, reflecting a manageable workload in the tournament. Notably, Sinner's surface strength index of 98.89 indicates exceptional adaptability on clay. In contrast, Alexander Bublik, ranked 51st, has a lower form index of 84.35 and an Elo rating of 1,539. His fatigue is notably higher at 696 minutes, which could impact his performance. Bublik’s surface strength index of 14.28 suggests he may struggle more on this surface compared to Sinner. The difference in mean serve index favors Sinner significantly, as he holds a score of 98.04 against Bublik's 95.59, exceeding the 5-point threshold. Additionally, Sinner's mean return index of 88.97 is also superior to Bublik's 86.62, further highlighting his edge in both serve and return capabilities. In their recent three matches at this tournament, Sinner has been flawless, winning all three encounters in straight sets, with no sets lost. His last match against Andrey Rublev was particularly impressive, showcasing his dominance. Bublik, while also successful in his last three matches, faced more challenges, including a set lost against Jack Draper. His ability to win matches has been commendable, but the competition level he faced does not match that of Sinner's recent opponents.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior ranking, form, and performance metrics on clay give him a clear advantage going into this match against Alexander Bublik. His strong serving and returning skills are likely to pose significant challenges for Bublik. A key factor to observe will be how Sinner manages his fatigue levels, as maintaining energy will be crucial for dominating the encounter.