Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Jannik Sinner vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #2
83%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #22
17%
Predicted Games Played: 20.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Ranking Trends

Jannik Sinner

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1 (2024-10-21)

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #22 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #18 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #32 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 60.6
ELO Rating: 11095.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2163.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 58.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 96.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 89.3

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 49.5
ELO Rating: 1280.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1655.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 99.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (1-0) hard Vienna 58 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Shanghai 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Beijing 72 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (2-1) hard Beijing 140 min

Flavio Cobolli
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-0) hard Vienna 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Almaty 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Almaty 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Shanghai 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Beijing 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna, Jannik Sinner faces off against Flavio Cobolli on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 83.40%, Sinner is favored to take the match, while Cobolli's chances stand at 16.60%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 20.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 2nd in the world, Jannik Sinner boasts a strong form index of 60.63 and an impressive Elo rating of 11095.28. His fatigue level is at 58 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh for this stage of the tournament. Sinner's surface strength index of 96.93 highlights his proficiency on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.59 and a mean return index of 89.28. His serve capabilities are significantly superior to Cobolli's, who has a mean serve index of 95.12, indicating a difference of over 2.5 points. Furthermore, Sinner's return game also shows an advantage, with a difference of over 1 point in the return index. Flavio Cobolli, ranked 22nd, has a form index of 49.52 and an Elo rating of 1280.51, which places him at a considerable disadvantage against Sinner. Cobolli's fatigue level is notably higher at 99 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of recent matches. In his last three encounters, Cobolli has experienced mixed results, winning against Tomas Machac but losing to James Duckworth, while also achieving victory over Rinky Hijikata. In contrast, Sinner's recent performances include a win against Daniel Altmaier and a tough match against Tallon Griekspoor, where he lost after winning the first set.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior ranking, form, and performance metrics give him a distinct edge over Flavio Cobolli in this matchup. Additionally, Sinner's lower fatigue level and stronger serving and returning abilities are key factors that could influence the outcome of the match. Observing Sinner's serving effectiveness will be crucial, as it may dictate the flow of the game and Cobolli's ability to respond.