Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 16

Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
77%
VS

Grigor Dimitrov

Rank: #21
23%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 87.9
ELO Rating: 11447.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2154.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 88.9

Grigor Dimitrov

Form Index: 73.5
ELO Rating: 2413.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1758.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 19.9
Clay: 24.6
Grass: 26.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) grass Halle 122 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) grass Halle 90 min

Grigor Dimitrov

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francesco Passaro (0-2) clay Rome 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Grigor Dimitrov
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at Wimbledon 2025, world number one Jannik Sinner faces 21st-ranked Grigor Dimitrov on the iconic grass courts of Great Britain. The match is expected to be competitive, with Sinner holding a strong probability of winning at 77.04% compared to Dimitrov’s 22.96%. The predicted total number of games played is 35.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner enters this match with a remarkable form index of 87.85 and an Elo rating of 11447.28, indicating his current dominance in the sport. His surface strength index on grass stands at an impressive 98.92, paired with a mean serve index of 97.76 and a mean return index of 88.94. In contrast, Grigor Dimitrov, while a seasoned player, has a lower form index of 73.46 and an Elo rating of 2413.30. Dimitrov's surface strength index is significantly lower at 26.50, and his mean serve index is 95.98, while his mean return index is 86.14. The difference in their mean serve index exceeds 5 points, highlighting Sinner's superior serving capabilities. Both players have shown strong performances in their recent matches, winning their last three outings without dropping a set. Sinner has convincingly defeated his opponents in straight sets, showcasing his ability to dominate on grass. Dimitrov also secured wins but faced more challenges, notably dropping a set against Corentin Moutet in one of his matches. This consistency in Sinner's performance adds to his edge going into the match.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's combination of a higher ranking, superior form, and exceptional stats on grass provides him with a definitive edge over Grigor Dimitrov. A key factor to watch will be Sinner's serve, which has been a significant weapon in his game, creating pressure on Dimitrov from the outset.