Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Jannik Sinner vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
84%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #93
16%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 87.7
ELO Rating: 11830.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2152.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 98.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 100.0
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 88.5

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 46.2
ELO Rating: 750.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 359.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 4.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Rome 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-0) clay Rome 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Rome 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (0-2) clay Rome 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Harold Mayot (2-0) clay Rome 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Boyer (1-2) clay Madrid 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Rome Masters 1000, Jannik Sinner is set to face Jesper de Jong on clay. Sinner, the top seed and current world number one, holds a significant advantage, with an 84.15% probability of winning compared to de Jong's 15.85%. The match is predicted to feature a total of around 21 games.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, ranked 1, boasts an impressive form index of 87.72 and an Elo rating of 11830, reflecting his current dominance in the sport. He has a remarkable surface strength index of 100.0 on clay, which is complemented by a mean serve index of 98.17 and a mean return index of 88.46. In contrast, Jesper de Jong sits at rank 93 with a form index of 46.20 and an Elo rating of 750.11. His surface strength index is significantly lower at 7.00, and while his mean serve index of 96.33 is competitive, his mean return index of 87.55 does not compare favorably to Sinner’s. The disparity in the mean serve index exceeds 5 points, indicating Sinner's superior serving capability. In their recent performances, Sinner has been in formidable form, winning his last three matches convincingly, including a straight-sets victory in his most recent match against Mariano Navone. De Jong, on the other hand, has shown resilience, winning two of his last three encounters, but his victories came against lower-ranked opponents, and his overall performance has been inconsistent, highlighted by a loss in his third match back on clay.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior ranking, exceptional form, and dominance on clay give him a clear edge over Jesper de Jong in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be Sinner's service game, as his ability to dictate play through powerful serves could significantly impact the outcome of the match.