Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Jannik Sinner vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
84%
VS

Mariano Navone

Rank: #99
16%
Predicted Games Played: 20.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 99.0
ELO Rating: 11830.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2152.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 100.0
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 88.4

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 48.9
ELO Rating: 1134.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 84.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 90.5

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (3-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min

Mariano Navone

  • Last Match: vs Federico Cina (2-0) clay Rome 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (1-2) clay Madrid 139 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) clay Madrid 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs David Goffin (0-2) clay Munich 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-1) clay Munich 182 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Mariano Navone
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, Jannik Sinner is set to face Mariano Navone on the clay courts. Sinner, ranked 1st in the world, is heavily favored to win with an 83.81% probability, while Navone trails significantly with a 16.19% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be around 20.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner's dominance is underscored by his top ranking and an impressive form index of 99.01, indicating he is in peak condition. His Elo rating stands at 11830, reflecting his strong performance metrics, especially on clay where he boasts a surface strength index of 100.0. Sinner's mean serve index of 98.16 and return index of 88.42 further establish his prowess, with a significant difference of over 5 points in both serve and return metrics compared to Navone. In contrast, Mariano Navone, currently ranked 99th, has a form index of 48.90 and an Elo rating of 1134. His fatigue level is considerably higher at 84 minutes, and his surface strength index of 10.69 indicates he struggles more on clay than Sinner does. In their recent performances, Sinner has showcased an impeccable run, winning all of his last three matches without dropping a set, including his most recent victory against Alexander Zverev at the Australian Open, which was played on hard courts. Navone, on the other hand, has displayed mixed results; while he secured a win against Federico Cina in his last match, he previously lost to Ben Shelton in Madrid, illustrating a less consistent form on clay.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's current form and statistical advantages, particularly in serving and returning, give him a clear edge going into this match. The key factor to watch will be Sinner's ability to maintain his high level of play on clay, which could very well dictate the pace and outcome of the match against Navone.