Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #55
48%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #18
52%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranking Trends

Jenson Brooksby

  • Current Rank: #55 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #102 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #163 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1000 (None)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #66 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #62 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 55.4
ELO Rating: 1200.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1623.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 67.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.9

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 50.6
ELO Rating: 1295.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1697.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 122.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Basel 67 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James Trotter (2-0) hard Shanghai 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Basel 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brussels 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Brussels 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Shanghai 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Shanghai 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Basel tournament in Switzerland will showcase a compelling clash on hard courts between Jenson Brooksby and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is predicted to emerge victorious, with a winning probability of 51.87%, while Jenson Brooksby has a probability of 48.13%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jenson Brooksby currently holds a rank of 55 and has a form index of 55.44, which indicates a stable performance level. His Elo rating stands at 1200.69, suggesting he has been competitive lately. He has a cumulative fatigue level of 67 minutes, which is relatively low, indicating he is likely well-rested. Brooksby boasts a surface strength index of 6.37, a mean serve index of 96.02, and a mean return index of 88.86. Notably, his serve index is superior by more than 5 points compared to Davidovich Fokina's, which may give him an edge during service games. Conversely, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 18, presents a solid challenge with a form index of 50.64 and an Elo rating of 1295.58. However, he has higher cumulative fatigue of 122 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index is notably stronger at 10.29, while his mean serve index is 94.73 and mean return index is 87.19. Davidovich Fokina’s recent performances include a strong victory over Lorenzo Sonego in Basel, although he faced a setback in Brussels against Raphael Collignon. His previous match against Marcos Giron demonstrated resilience, which could serve him well in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's superior ranking, overall surface strength, and recent performance provide him with a slight advantage in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Brooksby's serve, as his higher serve index could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of closely contested games.