Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Jesper de Jong vs Marton Fucsovics Prediction

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #81
48%
VS

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #53
52%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marton Fucsovics

Player Metrics

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 52.8
ELO Rating: 870.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 86.8

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 46.1
ELO Rating: 993.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1635.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 7.3
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Shanghai 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yi Zhou (2-1) hard Shanghai 164 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Beijing 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-1) hard Beijing 170 min

Marton Fucsovics

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (1-2) hard Shanghai 161 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Tokio 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Tokio 147 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Tokio 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-0) hard Tokio 56 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jesper de Jong
vs
0
Marton Fucsovics
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Stockholm tournament, Marton Fucsovics is set to face Jesper de Jong on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Fucsovics slightly favored to win, possessing a 51.66% probability against de Jong’s 48.34%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Jesper de Jong, currently ranked 81, has a form index of 52.80 and an Elo rating of 870.70, indicating a decent level of play. His surface strength index is at 7.01, showcasing his ability on hard courts. Notably, de Jong has a mean serve index of 96.71 and a mean return index of 86.82, suggesting that his serving game may give him an edge, though the difference in serve effectiveness is minimal. In contrast, Marton Fucsovics ranks 53 with a lower form index of 46.15 but a superior Elo rating of 993.52, reflecting his experience and capability. Fucsovics has a surface strength index of 8.32, indicating a stronger performance on hard courts compared to de Jong. His mean serve index is 94.99, and his return index stands at 87.07, showing slightly better return capabilities. In their recent match performances, de Jong's last three matches include a victory against Jakub Mensik and Yi Zhou, but a loss to Felix Auger-Aliassime in his most recent outing. Fucsovics, on the other hand, has struggled recently, with losses to Jaume Munar and Brandon Nakashima, and a solitary win against Frances Tiafoe. Both players enter the match with zero cumulative fatigue, suggesting they are physically ready, but Fucsovics's experience in higher-stakes matches could prove advantageous.

Final Prediction

Marton Fucsovics has a slight edge over Jesper de Jong, driven by a higher Elo rating and better performance historically on hard courts. A key factor to watch will be Fucsovics's ability to handle de Jong’s serve, which could dictate the flow of the match.