Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Yi Zhou vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

Yi Zhou

Rank: #305
36%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #79
64%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jesper de Jong

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Ranking Trends

Yi Zhou

  • Current #305 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #321 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #364 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #363 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #440 2024-09-30

Jesper de Jong

  • Current #79 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #106 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #98 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #112 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #118 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Yi Zhou

Form Index: 26.2
ELO Rating: 227.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1482.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.8
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.6

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 59.8
ELO Rating: 822.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1592.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Yi Zhou
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Jesper de Jong
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yi Zhou
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, Yi Zhou faces Jesper de Jong on hard courts in China. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with de Jong predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 63.82% probability of winning compared to Zhou's 36.18%. The expected total number of games played is projected to be around 22.

Match Analysis

Yi Zhou, ranked 305, has a form index of 26.24 and an Elo rating of 227.88. His cumulative fatigue is currently at zero, indicating he is well-rested. Zhou's surface strength index stands at 2.81, while his mean serve index is notably high at 97.51, complemented by a return index of 88.56. In contrast, Jesper de Jong, ranked 79, showcases a stronger form index of 59.81 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 822.92. He also has a surface strength index of 6.34. Although De Jong's serve index is slightly lower at 95.18, he maintains a strong return index of 86.87. The difference in their mean serve index is less than 5 points, but the return index difference is marginal. Over their last three matches, Yi Zhou has struggled, winning only one match against Cameron Norrie while losing to both David Goffin and Christopher O'Connell. His recent performances indicate challenges in maintaining form. Conversely, Jesper de Jong's recent results are mixed; he has one win against Tristan Schoolkate and two losses, but his overall higher ranking and form suggest he is more consistently competitive.

Final Prediction

Jesper de Jong's superior ranking, form index, and overall performance metrics provide him a distinct advantage heading into the match against Yi Zhou. A key factor to monitor will be Zhou's ability to capitalize on his service game against De Jong's return, as any lapse could heavily influence the match outcome.

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