Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Lehecka comes mainly from age (adding 3.4 percentage points) and a marginally better surface fit (plus 1.6 pp). Lehecka sits at No. 12 with an Elo of 1779.6 and a form index of 43.05; his surface strength index on grass is 26.94, and he has strong serve and return indices (serve 96.68, return 90.14). Tiafoe’s overall strength and recent form pull in the opposite direction (2.1 pp and 2.0 pp respectively): he carries a higher Elo (1807.1) and a higher form index (60.04). Tiafoe is ranked 26, with a lower surface strength index (18.14) but solid serve/return numbers (serve 94.67, return 86.67). The fatigue & workload factor nudges 0.7 pp toward Tiafoe, with Tiafoe showing 225 minutes on court in this event versus Lehecka’s 146. Recent results underline the contrast: Lehecka reached this stage after a gritty three-set win over James Duckworth on grass but arrives off two straight clay losses to Carreno Busta and Casper Ruud. Tiafoe is in stronger recent match form at Stuttgart, beating Rinky Hijikata in straight sets and overcoming Daniel Altmaier in three, having split a five-set loss on clay at Roland Garros before this week.