Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Hubert Hurkacz vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #31
67%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #65
33%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Hubert Hurkacz

Player Metrics

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 62.3
ELO Rating: 2440.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1824.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 22.5
Grass: 22.5
Serve Rating: 98.5
Return Rating: 84.3

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 33.9
ELO Rating: 1064.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1631.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) clay Geneva 60 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) clay Geneva 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) clay Geneva 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Geneva 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Rome 118 min

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Madrid 125 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Miami 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Miami 71 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hubert Hurkacz
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros, Hubert Hurkacz faces Joao Fonseca on the clay courts of France. The predicted winner is Hubert Hurkacz, with a probability of 66.93% of winning compared to 33.07% for Joao Fonseca. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 36 games played.

Match Analysis

Hubert Hurkacz comes into this match ranked 31st with a form index of 62.28, indicating a solid performance trend. His Elo rating of 2440.39 further emphasizes his competitive edge, particularly on clay, where he has a surface strength index of 22.52. Hurkacz's mean serve index of 98.48 suggests exceptional serving capabilities, which is significantly higher than Fonseca's mean serve index of 95.06. Moreover, Hurkacz's mean return index of 84.29 is also higher than Fonseca's 87.16, but the difference is within the 5-point margin, indicating that both players have effective return games. Notably, Hurkacz's fatigue level is at 0.0, showing he is fresh for this encounter. Conversely, Joao Fonseca, ranked 65th, has a lower form index of 33.91 and an Elo rating of 1064.55, reflecting his struggles in recent matches. His recent performances include a series of challenging matches, with his last three games resulting in one win and two losses. He achieved victory against Elmer Moller but faced defeats against Tommy Paul and Fabian Marozsan, indicating a lack of consistent form. Fonseca's surface strength index of 7.99 suggests he may face difficulties competing on clay against a player of Hurkacz's caliber.

Final Prediction

Hubert Hurkacz's combination of higher ranking, superior serve capability, and stronger recent form gives him a distinct advantage over Joao Fonseca in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Hurkacz's ability to utilize his strong serve to gain early momentum and control the tempo of the match.