Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Alex Michelsen vs Justin Engel Prediction

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #35
69%
VS

Justin Engel

Rank: #281
31%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Ranking Trends

Alex Michelsen

  • Current Rank: #35 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #32 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #41 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-06-10)

Justin Engel

  • Current Rank: #281 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #350 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #395 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #516 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #881 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 26.2
ELO Rating: 1158.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 105.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 9.0
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 88.8

Justin Engel

Form Index: 44.1
ELO Rating: 242.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1640.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 149.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 1.7
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Alex Michelsen
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Geneva 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-1) clay Rome 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Madrid 105 min

Justin Engel
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-1) grass Stuttgart 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Munich 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Almaty 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex Michelsen
vs
0
Justin Engel
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Stuttgart tournament, held on grass, Alex Michelsen is set to face Justin Engel. With a predicted win probability of 69.22% for Michelsen and 30.78% for Engel, the match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Alex Michelsen, currently ranked 35, boasts a strong form index of 26.21 and an Elo rating of 1158.86, indicating solid performance levels. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 105 minutes, which is manageable. Michelsen's surface strength index of 9.01 is significantly higher than Engel's 1.70, showcasing his adeptness on grass. Notably, Michelsen's mean serve index of 97.39 exceeds Engel's 97.04 by a narrow margin, while his mean return index of 88.76 also surpasses Engel's 88.17, but by a lesser margin, reflecting an overall advantage in both serving and returning capabilities. On the other side, Justin Engel, ranked 281, carries a form index of 44.08 and a very low Elo rating of 242.38. His fatigue level is higher at 149 minutes, which may affect his performance. Although Engel recently won against James Duckworth in Stuttgart, he previously faced tougher opponents like Andrey Rublev, suffering a loss. His recent performances have shown volatility, with a mix of wins and losses, making it difficult for him to build consistent momentum.

Final Prediction

The edge lies with Alex Michelsen due to his superior ranking, better form index, and stronger performance on grass. A crucial factor to observe during the match will be Michelsen's ability to maintain his serve effectiveness, as it could be pivotal in dictating the pace and outcome of the encounter.