Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Kamil Majchrzak vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Kamil Majchrzak

Rank: #65
38%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #81
62%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ethan Quinn

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Ranking Trends

Kamil Majchrzak

  • Current #65 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #109 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #122 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #120 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #146 2024-09-30

Ethan Quinn

  • Current #81 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #89 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #130 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #202 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #235 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Kamil Majchrzak

Form Index: 64.1
ELO Rating: 899.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 86.7

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 51.9
ELO Rating: 815.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 94.0
Return Rating: 85.3

Recent Matches

Kamil Majchrzak
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Ethan Quinn
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Tokio 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Tokio 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) hard Tokio 166 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yuta Shimizu (2-0) hard Tokio 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Chengdu 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Kamil Majchrzak
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Kamil Majchrzak and Ethan Quinn at the Shanghai Masters 1000 event promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. With the match taking place in the round of 128, Ethan Quinn is favored to win with a probability of 61.93%, while Kamil Majchrzak holds a 38.07% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Kamil Majchrzak, currently ranked 65, has a form index of 64.15 and an Elo rating of 899.11, which reflects a solid level of play. His surface strength index is 6.42, indicating competence on hard courts. Importantly, he boasts a mean serve index of 95.29, which is a significant advantage over Ethan Quinn's 93.96. Conversely, Quinn's mean return index of 85.32 is slightly lower than Majchrzak's 86.65; however, the difference is not substantial enough to favor either player decisively. Recent performances reveal contrasting trajectories for both competitors. Majchrzak's last three matches included a tough loss to Leandro Riedi at the US Open, but he did secure victories against Karen Khachanov and Hugo Dellien in the earlier rounds. In comparison, Quinn has faced challenges, losing to Holger Rune in his last match but achieving a win against Alex Michelsen and a victory over Mattia Bellucci prior to that. Despite Majchrzak's superior recent form, the cumulative fatigue is at zero for both players, suggesting they are relatively fresh for this encounter.

Final Prediction

Ethan Quinn's edge in winning probability stems from his overall consistency and his recent successes, despite a recent setback. The slight advantage in serve strength could be pivotal, as it may allow him to dictate play when serving. A key factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Quinn's return game against Majchrzak's powerful serve, as this could significantly influence the match's outcome.

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