Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Karen Khachanov vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
68%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #79
32%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Ranking Trends

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #24 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #22 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #18 (2024-05-27)

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current Rank: #79 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #66 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #92 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #89 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1936.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1741.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 21.0
ELO Rating: 660.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 8.2
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (1-2) clay Geneva 116 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Kei Nishikori (1-1) clay Geneva 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) clay Rome 148 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Francesco Passaro (2-0) clay Rome 61 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) clay Rome 160 min

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Dimitar Kuzmanov (0-2) clay Hamburg 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) clay Rome 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran (2-0) clay Rome 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Kei Nishikori (1-2) clay Madrid 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (1-2) clay Munich 116 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Karen Khachanov
vs
1
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Karen Khachanov and Aleksandar Vukic at Roland Garros marks an important round of 128 clash on the clay surface. Khachanov, ranked 24, is favored to win with a probability of 67.74%, while Vukic, positioned at 79, has a 32.26% chance of claiming victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 38.0.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov enters this matchup with a solid Elo rating of 1936.2 and a form index of 44.91, indicating a relatively better performance trend compared to Vukic, who has an Elo rating of 660.6 and a form index of 21.05. Both players currently show zero cumulative fatigue from prior matches. However, Khachanov's surface strength index of 18.79 significantly outshines Vukic's index of 5.10, suggesting that Khachanov is better suited for the clay conditions at Roland Garros. Notably, Khachanov's mean serve index of 97.05 exceeds Vukic's index of 96.21 by a thin margin, but his mean return index of 85.42 is also slightly lower than Vukic's 86.89. In their recent performances, Khachanov has faced tough opponents but managed to secure a win against Kei Nishikori while losing to Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Ofner. In contrast, Vukic has struggled, losing to both Dimitar Kuzmanov and Sebastian Korda, with only a single victory against Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, indicating a less favorable form heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's higher ranking, better form index, and superior performance on clay provide him with a distinct advantage over Aleksandar Vukic. A critical factor to watch will be Khachanov's ability to convert his serve opportunities into points, as his strong serve could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.