Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Karen Khachanov vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
68%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #79
32%
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

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Ranking Trends

Karen Khachanov

  • Current #24 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #24 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #19 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #22 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #18 2024-05-27

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #79 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #66 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #69 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #92 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #89 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1936.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1741.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 21.0
ELO Rating: 660.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 8.2
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Karen Khachanov
vs
1
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Karen Khachanov and Aleksandar Vukic at Roland Garros marks an important round of 128 clash on the clay surface. Khachanov, ranked 24, is favored to win with a probability of 67.74%, while Vukic, positioned at 79, has a 32.26% chance of claiming victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 38.0.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov enters this matchup with a solid Elo rating of 1936.2 and a form index of 44.91, indicating a relatively better performance trend compared to Vukic, who has an Elo rating of 660.6 and a form index of 21.05. Both players currently show zero cumulative fatigue from prior matches. However, Khachanov's surface strength index of 18.79 significantly outshines Vukic's index of 5.10, suggesting that Khachanov is better suited for the clay conditions at Roland Garros. Notably, Khachanov's mean serve index of 97.05 exceeds Vukic's index of 96.21 by a thin margin, but his mean return index of 85.42 is also slightly lower than Vukic's 86.89. In their recent performances, Khachanov has faced tough opponents but managed to secure a win against Kei Nishikori while losing to Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Ofner. In contrast, Vukic has struggled, losing to both Dimitar Kuzmanov and Sebastian Korda, with only a single victory against Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, indicating a less favorable form heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's higher ranking, better form index, and superior performance on clay provide him with a distinct advantage over Aleksandar Vukic. A critical factor to watch will be Khachanov's ability to convert his serve opportunities into points, as his strong serve could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.

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