Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Francesco Passaro vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Francesco Passaro

Rank: #101
32%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
68%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Francesco Passaro

  • Current #101 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #91 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #111 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #149 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #240 2024-05-06

Karen Khachanov

  • Current #24 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #20 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #19 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #22 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #18 2024-05-06

Player Metrics

Francesco Passaro

Form Index: 63.1
ELO Rating: 775.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 221.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.0

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 53.0
ELO Rating: 2051.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1743.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 160.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.1
Clay: 20.8
Grass: 19.5
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Francesco Passaro
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Grigor Dimitrov (2-0) clay Rome 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Bautista Torres (2-1) clay Buenos Aires 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-0) clay Buenos Aires 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-3) hard Australian Open 174 min

Karen Khachanov
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francesco Passaro
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome promises to be an exciting encounter as Francesco Passaro takes on Karen Khachanov on clay. The match is expected to showcase a competitive dynamic, with Khachanov favored to win, holding a probability of 67.61% compared to Passaro's 32.39%. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 24.

Match Analysis

Francesco Passaro, currently ranked 101, has a form index of 63.11 and an Elo rating of 775.62. He has shown resilience, but his cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 221 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of play. His surface strength index of 6.32 indicates he is still developing his game on clay, while his mean serve index (96.38) and return index (87.98) are commendable. Notably, Khachanov's mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.71, but his surface strength index of 20.79 signifies a stronger performance on clay. Karen Khachanov, ranked 24, brings a wealth of experience to the matchup. His form index of 52.98 and Elo rating of 2051.17 reflect his established presence on the tour. With 160 minutes of cumulative fatigue, he is in a slightly better position than Passaro. Both players have had mixed results in their recent matches, with Passaro winning two of his last three. However, Khachanov has also demonstrated his capability by winning two of his last three outings, including a recent victory against Roman Andres Burruchaga.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's higher ranking, experience, and superior surface strength index give him a distinct advantage heading into the match. The effectiveness of his serve will be a key factor to monitor, as he aims to capitalize on any weaknesses in Passaro's game.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel