Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Karen Khachanov vs Jenson Brooksby Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #12
70%
VS

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #101
30%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 66.4
ELO Rating: 2053.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1771.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 110.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.4
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 85.4

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 46.7
ELO Rating: 1003.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 272.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Cincinnati 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Toronto 172 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Toronto 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-0) hard Toronto 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Toronto 130 min

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Cincinnati 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Toronto 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-2) hard Washington 158 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Jenson Brooksby
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Karen Khachanov faces Jenson Brooksby on hard courts in Ohio. With Khachanov ranked 12th and boasting a 70.29% probability of victory, he is favored to win against Brooksby, who has a 29.71% chance. The predicted total number of games in this match is set at 22.

Match Analysis

Khachanov enters the match with a solid form index of 66.40 and an Elo rating of 2053, indicating a strong performance trajectory. His cumulative fatigue is at 110 minutes, which is relatively low, suggesting he is well-rested for this encounter. His surface strength index of 16.44 reflects his capability on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.75 gives him a significant edge over Brooksby. In contrast, Brooksby is currently ranked 101, with a form index of 46.71 and an Elo rating of 1003. His fatigue level is notably higher at 272 minutes, which could impact his performance. With a lower surface strength index of 2.69 and a mean serve index of 94.40, he faces challenges in matching Khachanov's serving prowess. Furthermore, Khachanov's mean return index of 85.41 surpasses Brooksby’s 88.43, giving him an advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, Khachanov has shown dominance, winning his last three matches, including a decisive victory over Alexander Zverev. His confidence is bolstered by a recent flawless win against Valentin Royer in Cincinnati. Brooksby, while also winning his last two matches, has faced more strenuous battles, including a three-set encounter against Alexandre Muller. His previous loss to Corentin Moutet in Toronto indicates some inconsistency that could be troubling.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's superior ranking, form, and serving capabilities give him a clear advantage in this matchup against Jenson Brooksby. A key factor to monitor will be Khachanov's serving efficiency, as his ability to capitalize on serve points could define the outcome of the match.