Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Mackenzie McDonald vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #88
21%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #20
79%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #100 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #131 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #151 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #96 (2024-07-01)

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #20 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #25 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 447.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.8

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 61.3
ELO Rating: 1816.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1743.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs George Loffhagen (0-2) grass Eastbourne 94 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-2) grass London 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Henry Searle (2-0) grass London 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) grass London 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 151 min

Karen Khachanov
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) grass Halle 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) grass Halle 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-1) grass Halle 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) grass Halle 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 112 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
1
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

As the Wimbledon tournament unfolds in Great Britain, Mackenzie McDonald faces off against Karen Khachanov in the Round of 128. The match, played on grass, is expected to be a challenging contest, with Khachanov predicted to emerge victorious. The probability of McDonald winning stands at 21.42%, while Khachanov's chances are significantly higher at 78.58%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 37.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald currently holds a ranking of 88, with a form index of 38.10 and an Elo rating of 447.63. His fatigue level is at zero, indicating no cumulative minutes spent on court in this tournament. However, his surface strength index of 4.31 suggests he may struggle on grass. McDonald's mean serve index is 96.27, while his mean return index of 85.84 is decent, but not overwhelmingly strong. In contrast, Karen Khachanov is ranked 20, with a form index of 61.30 and a much higher Elo rating of 1816.33. Like McDonald, Khachanov also reports zero fatigue. His surface strength index of 16.80 indicates a better adaptation to grass. Notably, his mean serve index of 95.43 is competitive, and his mean return index of 85.11 is close to McDonald’s, with only a minor difference of 0.73. In their recent performances, McDonald has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a straight-set defeat in his last outing against George Loffhagen. Conversely, Khachanov has shown resilience, winning against Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Felix Auger-Aliassime, although he did lose to Alexander Bublik in his last match. This recent form emphasizes Khachanov’s competitive edge heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's higher ranking, superior form, and better surface adaptability give him a significant advantage over Mackenzie McDonald. With Khachanov's experience on grass courts and recent performances showing more consistency, he is expected to control the match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively McDonald can respond to Khachanov's serve and maintain pressure throughout the contest.