Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Khachanov arrives with the higher standing — world No. 15, an Elo of 1722.5 and a form index of 47.5 — while Trungelliti sits at No. 81 with an Elo of 1613.0 and a 45.1 form index. Both players show identical tournament fatigue at 174 minutes on court. Khachanov’s surface strength index (27.37) is noticeably better than Trungelliti’s (15.29), suggesting a clearer comfort on clay for the Russian. Mean serve and return indexes are high for both players (Khachanov serve 95.93 / return 91.67; Trungelliti serve 94.11 / return 88.05) but the gaps aren’t wide enough to be decisive on their own. Recent form echoes those figures: Khachanov opened Roland-Garros with a straight-sets win over Arthur Gea and, in preceding clay events, split results with a loss to Ugo Humbert and a win over Hugo Gaston. Trungelliti also began the slam with a strong 3-0 victory over Kyrian Jacquet but had losses in Geneva and Rome prior to Paris. The pattern is one of resilience from both players on clay, though Khachanov’s higher-ranked résumé and a slightly sharper return profile give him the statistical edge.