Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Karen Khachanov vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #13
46%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #28
54%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Ranking Trends

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #16 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #19 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #24 (2024-10-21)

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #31 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #40 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #35 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 21.5
ELO Rating: 1684.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1742.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.5
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 28.8
ELO Rating: 1125.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) hard Almaty 139 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (0-2) hard Shanghai 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Beijing 168 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Tallon Griekspoor
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (1-2) hard Stockholm 164 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Vacherot (1-2) hard Shanghai 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Beijing 109 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna, Karen Khachanov faces off against Tallon Griekspoor on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Griekspoor slightly favored to win, holding a 54.21% probability compared to Khachanov’s 45.79%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.0, indicating a closely contested encounter.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 13, Karen Khachanov possesses a form index of 21.46 and an Elo rating of 1684.31. His surface strength index is 13.52, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.78 and a mean return index of 85.75. Griekspoor, ranked 28, has a higher form index of 28.82 and an Elo rating of 1125.72. His surface strength index is slightly lower at 11.11, with a mean serve index of 96.49 and a mean return index of 85.01. Interestingly, the difference in their mean serve indices is minimal, while the mean return indices show a difference of just 0.74, suggesting a balanced exchange in these areas. In their recent performances, Khachanov has struggled, losing his last three matches, including a tough contest against Jan-Lennard Struff in Almaty, where he lost in three sets. He has shown signs of fatigue, having played significant match durations recently. On the other hand, Griekspoor's last three matches include a win against Jannik Sinner, showcasing his potential to perform under pressure, even though he too has faced challenges in his latest outings.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor holds the edge in this matchup due to his better recent form and competitive performances, particularly highlighted by his victory over Sinner. A crucial factor to watch will be how each player manages their service games, as both possess strong serve indices, and this will likely determine the flow and outcome of the match.