Beijing China Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Learner Tien vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #54
45%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #21
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Ranking Trends

Learner Tien

  • Current Rank: #54 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #67 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #66 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #122 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #148 (2024-09-30)

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current Rank: #21 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #18 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #24 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #31 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 42.7
ELO Rating: 1058.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.0

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 28.8
ELO Rating: 1310.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.3
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 89.3

Recent Matches

Learner Tien
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (1-2) hard Hangzhou 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-0) hard Hangzhou 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-1) hard Hangzhou 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 104 min

Francisco Cerundolo
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Leandro Riedi (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Toronto 51 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Toronto 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Toronto 178 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Taberner (1-2) clay Umag 200 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Beijing tournament, Learner Tien faces off against Francisco Cerundolo on hard courts. The match is set to be competitive, with Cerundolo predicted to win with a probability of 54.69%, while Tien has a 45.31% chance of claiming victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0, indicating a potentially closely contested encounter.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien is currently ranked 54, with a form index of 42.72 and an Elo rating of 1058.54. His fatigue level is at 0, suggesting he has had a light workload so far in the tournament. Tien's surface strength index stands at 9.20, indicating moderate performance on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index is 96.07, which is slightly higher than Cerundolo's 95.46, but the difference does not exceed 5 points. However, Tien's mean return index of 87.98 is lower than Cerundolo's 89.31, which might give the Argentine an edge in return games. On the other hand, Francisco Cerundolo, ranked 21, possesses a form index of 28.85 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1310.66. His surface strength index is 12.33, reflecting a better adaptation to hard courts. In terms of recent performances, Tien has shown mixed results with a win and two losses in his last three matches. Conversely, Cerundolo has struggled, losing two of his last three encounters, including a close match against Leandro Riedi at the US Open.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's higher ranking and Elo rating provide him with a competitive advantage in this matchup. Despite recent struggles, his solid return game will be crucial against Tien's serve. Keep an eye on how Tien's serve holds up against Cerundolo's returns, as that could be a defining factor in the match's outcome.