Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Learner Tien vs Justin Engel Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
62%
VS

Justin Engel

Rank: #235
38%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 20.8
ELO Rating: 929.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 89.2

Justin Engel

Form Index: 45.5
ELO Rating: 386.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 3.1
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.2

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (0-2) grass Halle 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) grass Stuttgart 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kei Nishikori (1-2) clay Geneva 126 min

Justin Engel

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) grass Halle 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-1) grass Halle 165 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) grass Stuttgart 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-1) grass Stuttgart 149 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Justin Engel
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Learner Tien and Justin Engel in the Round of 32 at the Mallorca tournament promises to be an intriguing encounter on grass. Given Learner Tien's strong statistical profile and recent performances, he is predicted to win with a probability of 62.37%, while Justin Engel holds a 37.63% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien currently holds a rank of 67, paired with a form index of 20.83 and an Elo rating of 929.18, all indicating a solid level of play. His surface strength index of 4.62 reflects his competence on grass, while his mean serve index at 96.12 showcases his ability to dominate service games. Conversely, Justin Engel, ranked 235, has a form index of 45.45 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 386.94. Engel's surface strength index of 3.11 and a mean serve index of 97.49 highlight his serving capabilities, though it is worth noting that Tien’s return index of 89.24 exceeds Engel's by over 5 points, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. In their recent matches, Tien has struggled, losing his last two encounters on grass against Nicolas Jarry and Brandon Nakashima, while only managing to win one out of his last three. In contrast, Engel's performances have been mixed; he lost to Sebastian Ofner but secured a victory against Roman Safiullin in his previous match. Both players enter the match with zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, which may allow them to perform at their peak.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's advantages in return capabilities and a slightly stronger overall profile give him the edge heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Tien's ability to capitalize on Engel's weaknesses during return games, which may ultimately determine the match's outcome.