Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #9
69%
VS

Dino Prizmic

Rank: #121
31%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Current Rank: #9 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #16 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #17 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-09-16)

Dino Prizmic

  • Current Rank: #121 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #175 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #346 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #292 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #351 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 57.2
ELO Rating: 2389.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1722.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 22.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.2

Dino Prizmic

Form Index: 71.8
ELO Rating: 382.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 82.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 1.9
Grass: 1.9
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-2) hard Cincinnati 166 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Toronto 151 min

Dino Prizmic
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Chengdu 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jason Kubler (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Murphy Cassone (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexis Galarneau (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
Dino Prizmic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Lorenzo Musetti and Dino Prizmic is set to take place in the Round of 16 at the Chengdu tournament, held on hard courts. With Musetti ranked 9th and showing strong form, he is predicted to win with a probability of 69.42%, while Prizmic holds a 30.58% chance. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti enters this match with a significantly higher ranking at 9 and a form index of 57.18, which reflects his recent performances. His Elo rating stands at 2389.61, showcasing his competitive edge. Musetti has a cumulative fatigue of 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready to compete. His surface strength index of 12.95 suggests he performs well on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index of 96.75 is superior to Prizmic's 93.78, giving him an advantage in service games. Additionally, Musetti's return index of 88.20 is slightly lower than Prizmic's 88.83, indicating that both players are capable returners. Dino Prizmic, ranked 121, has a form index of 71.77, which reflects a recent win against Terence Atmane. He has an Elo rating of 382.70 and comes into this match with a cumulative fatigue of 82 minutes, which could impact his performance. In his last three matches, Prizmic has experienced a mixed bag of results, including a loss to Andrey Rublev, which may affect his confidence. Conversely, Musetti has won two of his last three matches, showcasing a strong competitive spirit despite a heavy defeat against Jannik Sinner in his most recent outing.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti has the edge over Dino Prizmic due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue, and superior serve index. A key factor to observe will be Musetti's ability to capitalize on his serve advantage, as it could dictate the pace and outcome of the match. Prizmic's performance under pressure will also be crucial, especially given his recent fatigue levels.