Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #45
38%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #18
62%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 30.2
ELO Rating: 1020.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.9

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 42.5
ELO Rating: 1288.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (1-2) hard Stockholm 163 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Fery (2-0) hard Stockholm 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (1-2) hard Shanghai 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Beijing 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Chengdu 103 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brussels 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Brussels 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Shanghai 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Shanghai 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the ATP 500 tournament in Basel progresses to the Round of 32, Lorenzo Sonego faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on hard courts in Switzerland. The match is expected to be competitive, with Davidovich Fokina favored to win, holding a probability of 61.68% compared to Sonego's 38.32%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego is currently ranked 45th with a form index of 30.21 and an Elo rating of 1020.56. His surface strength index stands at 9.27, suggesting a modest performance on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index is 97.54, indicating a solid serving capability. On the other hand, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 18th, showcases a much higher form index of 42.46 and an Elo rating of 1288.82, reflecting greater consistency and competitiveness. His surface strength index of 10.17 indicates he is slightly stronger on hard courts than Sonego, and while both players have similar serve capabilities, Davidovich Fokina holds a significant advantage in return game with a mean return index of 87.20 compared to Sonego's 84.89. In their recent performances, Sonego has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Ugo Humbert, which could indicate lingering issues with form. Conversely, Davidovich Fokina has been more competitive, winning against Marcos Giron, although he also faced a tough loss against Daniil Medvedev. His recent match against Raphael Collignon, despite being a loss, suggests that he is still in contention and capable of bouncing back.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior return game provide him with a substantial advantage heading into this match. A crucial factor to watch will be how effectively Sonego can leverage his serve against Davidovich Fokina's return capabilities, which could influence the match's outcome significantly.