Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Rank: #98
43%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #55
57%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

Player Metrics

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Form Index: 29.3
ELO Rating: 519.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1518.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 99.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.8
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.8

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 66.5
ELO Rating: 1236.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1602.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Chun-Hsin Tseng

  • Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-0) clay Umag 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (0-2) clay Bastad 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) grass Eastbourne 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (0-2) grass Eastbourne 60 min

Luciano Darderi

  • Last Match: vs Jesper De Jong (2-1) clay Bastad 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) clay Bastad 153 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (1-0) clay Bastad 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (2-0) clay Bastad 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-1) clay Bastad 129 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Chun-Hsin Tseng
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament in Croatia, Chun-Hsin Tseng faces Luciano Darderi on clay. With a predicted total of 24 games, Darderi is favored to win with a probability of 56.62%, while Tseng has a 43.38% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Chun-Hsin Tseng, currently ranked 98, has a form index of 29.27, indicating a less favorable performance trend. His Elo rating stands at 519.31, reflecting a lower competitive standing compared to his opponent. Tseng's cumulative fatigue of 99 minutes, coupled with a surface strength index of 4.94, suggests he may be slightly worn out and less effective on clay. In terms of serving, Tseng has a mean serve index of 95.87, while his return index is at 86.85, showing solid performance but not significantly above Darderi's metrics. Luciano Darderi, ranked 55, boasts a much higher form index of 66.53 and an Elo rating of 1236.86, positioning him as the stronger player in this matchup. Darderi's fatigue level is zero, indicating he is fresh and ready for the challenge. His surface strength index of 10.91 reflects a solid adaptability to clay conditions. Darderi's mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.48, but his return index of 86.19 shows he can effectively counter Tseng's serves. Both players have shown recent success, but Darderi's three-match winning streak, including victories over notable opponents in Bastad, certainly gives him the momentum.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi's edge lies in his better overall form and freshness, which could be pivotal in a potentially long match. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Darderi's return game, as his performance in this area could dictate the flow and outcome of the match against Tseng.