Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Giron Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #56
40%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #46
60%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

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Ranking Trends

Luciano Darderi

  • Current #56 2025-06-23
  • 3 mo ago #61 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #44 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #42 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #37 2024-06-24

Marcos Giron

  • Current #46 2025-06-23
  • 3 mo ago #45 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #46 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #47 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #46 2024-06-24

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 24.5
ELO Rating: 1177.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.6

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 17.5
ELO Rating: 1349.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 11.2
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Diego Dedura (2-0) clay Hamburg 69 min

Marcos Giron
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Luciano Darderi
vs
0
Marcos Giron
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Eastbourne tournament, set on grass, Luciano Darderi faces Marcos Giron. With the predicted winner being Marcos Giron, the probabilities of winning are 39.57% for Darderi and 60.43% for Giron, with an anticipated total of 23 games played in the match.

Match Analysis

Luciano Darderi, currently ranked 56, holds a form index of 24.54 and an Elo rating of 1177.86. His surface strength index is 9.59, indicating a relatively modest performance on grass. Conversely, Marcos Giron, ranked 46, has a higher form index of 17.50 and an Elo rating of 1349.25, reflecting better recent performances. Giron's surface strength index of 11.16 suggests he may perform better on grass than Darderi. Notably, the difference in mean serve index, with Darderi at 97.23 and Giron at 95.77, is less than 5 points, while the mean return index difference is negligible, with Darderi at 86.56 and Giron at 86.31. In their last three matches, Darderi has struggled, losing all of them with a single set won against top players, including Nicolas Jarry and Sebastian Korda. His recent form on clay does not translate well to grass. Giron, however, has also faced challenges, notably losing to Alexander Zverev in his last match, but his overall ranking and Elo rating indicate a stronger competitive edge.

Final Prediction

Marcos Giron's higher ranking and Elo rating provide him with an advantage, particularly as he has shown slightly better adaptability on grass. A key factor to watch during the match will be both players' serve effectiveness, as even slight advantages could dictate the match flow in this closely contested encounter.

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