Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #48
53%
VS

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #72
47%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

Ranking Trends

Marcos Giron

  • Current Rank: #48 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #45 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #46 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #46 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #47 (2024-09-30)

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current Rank: #72 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #84 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #23 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 32.5
ELO Rating: 1130.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.4

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 1301.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 199.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.4
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Tokio 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) hard Chengdu 132 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Chengdu 103 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Chengdu 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Alejandro Tabilo
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Harold Mayot (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jie Cui (2-0) hard Shanghai 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Tokio 168 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Chengdu 157 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Chengdu 94 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
0
Alejandro Tabilo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament, Marcos Giron is set to face Alejandro Tabilo on hard courts in China. The match is anticipated to be closely contested, with Giron predicted to win with a probability of 52.84%, while Tabilo's chances stand at 47.16%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 24.

Match Analysis

Marcos Giron, currently ranked 48th, has a form index of 32.47 and an Elo rating of 1130.06. His fatigue level is at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this match. With a surface strength index of 10.19, Giron exhibits solid performance on hard courts. His mean serve index stands at an impressive 97.03, while his return index is also strong at 86.38. Notably, the difference in their mean serve indices is over 5 points, which could give Giron a significant advantage in service games. Conversely, Alejandro Tabilo ranks 72nd and shows a form index of 55.01, indicating he has been performing better recently. His Elo rating of 1301.01 suggests a stronger overall performance level. However, Tabilo carries a cumulative fatigue of 199 minutes, which may impact his endurance in this match. His surface strength index is slightly higher at 11.44, while his mean serve index of 95.95 and return index of 84.55 are also competitive. Tabilo's recent performances have been impressive, winning his last two matches in Shanghai without dropping a set, while Giron has struggled, losing his last two matches.

Final Prediction

Marcos Giron is favored due to his higher mean serve index and fresh condition, which could be pivotal in tight moments during the match. A key factor to watch will be Giron's ability to capitalize on his serve against Tabilo, especially considering the latter's fatigue level.