Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #64
45%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #37
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 69.4
ELO Rating: 901.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73
Surface Strength:
Hard: 24.7
Clay: 23.3
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 44.0
Return Rating: 62.3

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 76.7
ELO Rating: 1343.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1635.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 145
Surface Strength:
Hard: 40.4
Clay: 29.1
Grass: 32.6
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 95.4

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Auckland 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) hard Hong Kong 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Michael Mmoh (2-0) hard Hong Kong 49 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Hong Kong 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-0) hard Hong Kong 59 min

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-1) hard Auckland 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Brisbane 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Brisbane 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Brisbane 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-1) hard Brisbane 146 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Auckland tournament in New Zealand, Marcos Giron is set to face Alex Michelsen on hard courts. The predicted winner is Alex Michelsen, with a 55.16% probability of winning, compared to Marcos Giron's 44.84%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Marcos Giron, currently ranked 64, has a form index of 69.40 and an Elo rating of 901.01, reflecting a solid, yet not elite, level of performance. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 73 minutes, indicating he may be relatively fresh. However, his surface strength index of 24.71 suggests he has struggled on hard courts, and with a mean serve index of 43.98 and mean return index of 62.30, his service game might not pose a significant threat. In contrast, Alex Michelsen, ranked 37, boasts a higher form index of 76.69 and an impressive Elo rating of 1343.43, showcasing a stronger competitive edge. Michelsen's fatigue is higher at 145 minutes, yet his surface strength index of 40.37 signifies better adaptability to hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index of 98.22 and mean return index of 95.42 highlight a significant advantage in both serving and returning when compared to Giron, with a difference of over 5 points in both metrics. Both players have shown varied recent performances. Giron won his last match decisively against Alexandre Muller, while his previous outings included a loss to Alexander Bublik and a victory over Michael Mmoh. Conversely, Michelsen's recent form includes a win against Mariano Navone and a loss to Daniil Medvedev, but he also secured a victory against Sebastian Korda, displaying resilience and capability.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen's superior ranking, form, and efficiency in serving and returning give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Giron can handle Michelsen's powerful serve and aggressive play throughout the match.