Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron Prediction

Mariano Navone

Rank: #78
55%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #61
45%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Mariano Navone

Ranking Trends

Mariano Navone

  • Current Rank: #78 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #97 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #64 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-08-26)

Marcos Giron

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #43 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #52 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #46 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #46 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 1012.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 8.5
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 90.1

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 19.3
ELO Rating: 1151.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.4
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 10.5
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Mariano Navone
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Yunchaokete Bu (0-2) hard Winston Salem 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Winston Salem 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dhakshineswar Suresh (2-0) hard Winston Salem 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Cincinnati 91 min

Marcos Giron
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mariano Navone (0-2) hard Winston Salem 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Blockx (1-2) hard Cincinnati 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Toronto 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Washington 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Mariano Navone
vs
0
Marcos Giron
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open, Mariano Navone is set to face Marcos Giron on hard courts in New York. The predicted winner is Mariano Navone, with a probability of 54.92% to win, while Marcos Giron has a 45.08% chance. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Mariano Navone, currently ranked 78, boasts a form index of 44.40, indicating a stronger recent performance compared to Marcos Giron, who is ranked 61 with a form index of 19.29. Navone's Elo rating stands at 1012.16, while Giron's is higher at 1150.97, showcasing Giron's established skill level. Both players show no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, which may play a role in their performance. On the surface strength index, Navone scores 7.82, while Giron performs slightly better at 10.43. Notably, Navone has a mean serve index of 96.27, which is marginally higher than Giron’s 95.66, but it is the return index where Navone excels with a score of 90.09 compared to Giron's 86.35, a difference that may influence the match dynamics. In their recent encounters, Navone has been in better form, having won his last match against Yunchaokete Bu, although he lost in a prior match against Giron, which could provide psychological insights for both players. On the other hand, Giron has struggled, losing his last three matches, including a straight-set defeat to Navone. This recent trend could impact Giron’s confidence heading into the match.

Final Prediction

Mariano Navone's recent victories and superior return index give him a slight edge over Marcos Giron in this matchup. A crucial factor to observe will be Navone's ability to capitalize on Giron's serving weaknesses, particularly during critical moments in the match.